Skip to main content
Sales forecasting in the HoopAI platform helps you predict future revenue based on your current pipeline. By assigning forecast categories and weighting opportunity values by stage probability, you get a realistic view of expected income — not just a list of open deals.
Forecasting works with your existing pipeline data. No additional setup is required beyond having opportunities with values and stages configured.

Pipeline forecasting overview

Pipeline forecasting calculates expected revenue by combining two data points for each opportunity:
  • Opportunity value — the dollar amount of the deal
  • Stage probability — the likelihood of closing based on the current pipeline stage
The platform multiplies these together to produce a weighted value for each opportunity, then rolls up totals by time period, pipeline, rep, or forecast category.

Weighted pipeline values

Each pipeline stage has an associated close probability. As opportunities advance through stages, their weighted value increases:
StageProbabilityDeal valueWeighted value
Qualification10%$50,000$5,000
Discovery25%$50,000$12,500
Proposal50%$50,000$25,000
Negotiation75%$50,000$37,500
Closed Won100%$50,000$50,000
Set stage probabilities in Settings > Opportunities > Pipeline Stages. Base them on historical conversion rates for the most accurate forecasts.

Forecast categories

Beyond stage-based weighting, you can assign a forecast category to each opportunity for manual override:
Deals the rep is confident will close this period. These should be in late stages with verbal or written agreement. Commit deals form the floor of your revenue forecast.

Revenue prediction

The forecasting dashboard provides three revenue views:

Weighted forecast

Total expected revenue based on stage probabilities. This is the most common forecast metric and updates automatically as deals move through stages.

Category forecast

Revenue broken down by forecast category (Commit, Best Case, Pipeline). Gives managers a rep-level view of deal confidence.

Unweighted total

Raw sum of all open opportunity values without probability weighting. Useful for understanding total addressable pipeline but not for revenue planning.

Viewing your forecast

1

Open the forecast view

Navigate to Opportunities > Sales Forecasting in the left sidebar.
2

Set the time period

Use the date range selector to choose the forecast period — weekly, monthly, quarterly, or custom range. The forecast shows only opportunities with an expected close date within this window.
3

Filter by pipeline or rep

Use the filter controls to narrow the view to a specific pipeline, sales rep, or team. This lets managers drill into individual performance.
4

Review the summary

The top of the page shows total weighted forecast, category breakdown, and trend compared to the previous period.

Forecast vs actual comparison

After a period closes, the platform compares your forecast to actual results:
MetricDescription
Forecast accuracyPercentage match between predicted and actual closed revenue
Commit accuracyHow often Commit-category deals actually closed
Slip ratePercentage of deals that pushed to a future period
Upside winsDeals that closed but were not in the Commit category
Coverage ratioTotal pipeline value divided by quota — indicates whether there is enough pipeline to hit target
A coverage ratio below 3x is a red flag. Most sales organizations need 3-4x pipeline coverage to reliably hit their number, since not all deals will close.

Using forecasting data for decision-making

Forecasting is not just a reporting exercise. Use the data to drive action:
If the weighted forecast is below target with two weeks left in the quarter, you need to generate more pipeline or accelerate existing deals. Do not wait until the period closes to react.
Compare each rep’s Commit accuracy over time. Reps who consistently over-commit need coaching on realistic deal assessment. Reps who under-commit may be sandbagging.
Sort opportunities by weighted value to see which deals will have the biggest revenue impact if they close. Focus team energy on moving these deals forward.
Use the category forecast to anticipate workload. If a large number of Best Case deals are expected to close next month, ensure your onboarding and delivery teams are prepared.
Use historical forecast accuracy and coverage ratios to set quotas that are ambitious but achievable. Quotas disconnected from pipeline reality damage team morale.
Last modified on March 6, 2026